Le Dr. Paul Morland est une autorité reconnue en démographie, réputé pour son analyse pertinente des tendances de population et de leur impact sociétal. Son travail explore l'interaction complexe entre le comportement humain, les structures sociales et les changements démographiques, offrant une perspective unique éclairée par sa rigueur académique et son parcours international. L'écriture de Morland se distingue par sa clarté et sa profondeur, rendant les concepts démographiques complexes accessibles à un large public.
The future of both humanity and the planet depends on the shape of human population growth, the only aspect of our future that can be confidently predicted. In ten thought-provoking chapters, Paul Morland explores ten illuminating trends that will determine that shape, from the fertility rate of Singapore to the ageing of the Japanese.
'Superbly explained' Washington Post 'Fascinating' Sunday Times 'Engrossing' Evening Standard Every phase since the advent of the industrial revolution - from the fate of the British Empire, to the global challenges from Germany, Japan and Russia, to America's emergence as a sole superpower, to the Arab Spring, to the long-term decline of economic growth that started with Japan and has now spread to Europe, to China's meteoric economy, to Brexit and the presidency of Donald Trump - can be explained better when we appreciate the meaning of demographic change across the world.The Human Tide is the first popular history book to redress the underestimated influence of population as a crucial factor in almost all of the major global shifts and events of the last two centuries - revealing how such events are connected by the invisible mutually catalysing forces of population. This highly original history offers a brilliant and simple unifying theory for our understanding the last two hundred years: the power of sheer numbers. An ambitious, original, magisterial history of modernity, it taps into prominent preoccupations of our day and will transform our perception of history for many years to come.
Exploring the concepts of 'hard demography' and 'soft demography,' this book analyzes how ethnic groups in conflict utilize demographic strategies to further their interests. It investigates the framing and implementation of policies aimed at altering the demographics of these groups, assessing their effectiveness through case studies in Sri Lanka, Israel/Palestine, Northern Ireland, and the USA. Aimed at demographers, geographers, and political scientists, it offers valuable insights into the intersection of demographics and conflict.
A population calamity is unfolding before our eyes. It started in parts of the developed world and is spreading to the four corners of the globe. There are just too few babies being born for humanity to replace itself. Before the end of the current century at the latest, and probably much sooner, the world's population will start to decline. Leading demographer Paul Morland argues that the consequences of this promise to be calamitous. Labour shortages, pensions crisis, ballooning debt: what is currently happening to South Korea - which faces population decline of more than 85% within just two generations - threatens to engulf us all, and sooner than we think. In time a ballooning number of elderly people will simply be left to their own devices as there will not be enough people of working age to meet all needs. Whole settlements will start to be abandoned. Social collapse may ensue. No One Left will chart this future, explain its causes and suggest what might be done. Unless we radically change our attitudes towards parenthood and embrace a new progressive pro-natalism, we face disaster, argues Morland. We can and must rise to this challenge.
und wie sie die moderne Welt erklärt
Demografische Übergänge, die früher Generationen benötigten, vollziehen sich heute in wenigen Jahrzehnten. Bevölkerungen wachsen, schrumpfen, werden jünger oder älter, emigrieren oder reorganisieren sich. Seit der Industrialisierung bewegen sich Bevölkerungstrends schnell und machen die Demografie zu einer spannenden Wissenschaft, die neue Erklärungsmodelle für aktuelle Geschehnisse bietet. Fragen wie das Wechselspiel zwischen technischem Fortschritt und Bevölkerungswachstum, die Auswirkungen einer höheren Lebenserwartung auf das globale Machtgefüge und die Folgen sinkender Geburtenraten auf die Weltgeschichte werden beleuchtet. Die Demografie ist eng mit dem Leben verbunden, da sie Daten zu Geburtenrate, Lebenserwartung und Migration liefert. Erst im Zusammenspiel mit Faktoren wie Wirtschaftsentwicklung, technologischem Fortschritt und Ideologien bietet sie Erklärungen für den Verlauf der Geschichte. Paul Morland, Demografieforscher am Birkbeck College der Universität London, beleuchtet in seinem Werk die Bevölkerungsentwicklung und den globalen demografischen Wandel und erzählt die Geschichte der modernen Welt auf erkenntnisreiche und faszinierende Weise.