Theodor H. Winkler Livres

The author was deeply involved in Switzerland's transformation of the Cold War policy of comprehensive defence into a modern security policy designed to foster stability and peace. Intellectual father of the Geneva Centre for Security Policy, the Geneva International Centre for Humanitarian Demining, and the Geneva Centre for the Democratic Control of Armed Forces, Winkler has helped to create a set of foreign and security policy tools of world renown. He was also instrumental in shaping the vision of the Maison de la Paix, in the very heart of international Geneva, home to the Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, the three Geneva centres and more than a dozen other institutions serving peace and development - a place to meet, to think, and to act unique in the world. In his memoirs Winkler tells the story how this transformation came about. It is a unique testimony on a crucial period of Swiss foreign and security policy. The book is a must for anybody interested in Swiss policy and international security.

We live in an era of globalization that is driven by a revolution in communication, computing, and knowledge management. It is benefiting mankind massively. Yet it has also its dark side: Our cyber integrity is under attack; the financial markets may be less stable than we would wish; global warming and pollution reach dangerous levels; demography, conflict, climate change and a lack of economic perspectives combine to create massive migratory pressure. Winkler analyses where we stand and what must be done to cope with the challenges that threaten our future and undermine political stability.

In his new book, Winkler looks at the transition from an US-led to a multipolar world. With a time horizon of 2100, he identifies the megatrends that will shape the century - demography, migration, climate change, the technological revolution -, looks at the leaders and strategies of the key players, notably the US, China, and Russia, and identifies the areas of potential conflict as well as the implications of the decay of the multilateral system and of the growing fragmentation of national politics. The author makes concrete proposals how to cope with the challenges we face. A must for everyone interested in politics.

Our world is transformed by rapid and profound change in all Bio-security and pandemics; global warming; demography and migration; cyber, artificial intelligence, and quantum computing; US domestic polices; liberal democracy under siege; the international financial system; a world becoming more multipolar with the rise of China and the coming ``Asian century''. Winkler, in his new book, analyzes what that change means, and how we can cope with it. Sectorial answers do not suffice any longer. What is needed is integrated change management. The book offers a detailed analysis of the global situation. A must for all politically interested.Theodor H .Winkler is a retired ambassador and "security policy thought leader" (Neue Zürcher Zeitung), architect of Swiss security policy, advisor in the Swiss Foreign and Defence Ministries, founding father of the Geneva Centres and the "Maison de la paix". Author of Living in an Unruly World - The Challenges We Face (2019), The Dark Side of Globalization - And How to Cope with It (2018), The Box was Happy that I was Thinking Outside of It - Memoirs (2018).

Der russische Überfall auf die Ukraine hat die Welt verändert. Er hat in den Worten von Olaf Scholz eine «Zeitenwende» eingeleitet. Auf Konfrontation mit Europa zu setzen, statt auf Kooperation, war der grösste Fehler, den Russland begehen konnte. Seine Streitkräfte erleiden gewaltige Verluste; seine Wirtschaft ächzt unter den westlichen Sanktionen. Winkler analysiert die Hintergründe, den Ablauf und die Konsequenzen von Putins Krieg und warnt eindringlich vor einer Invasion Taiwans durch China, die zum Weltkrieg zu eskalieren droht. Er zeichnet vor, wie sich die Welt in den nächsten Jahren verändern wird, und was wir tun können: Wie den Weltkrieg verhindern? Und wie in einer Welt voller Krieg leben? Sein Buch ist ein «must» für jeden, der sicherheitspolitisch interessiert ist.

Unsere Welt wird tiefgreifend und mit atemberaubender Geschwindigkeit verändert. Stichworte sind: Bio-Sicherheit und Pandemie; Klimawandel; Demografie und Migration; Cyber, Digitalisierung und künstliche Intelligenz; volatile Finanzmärkte; innenpolitische Instabilität in den USA; die "liberale Demokratie" unter Beschuss; der Aufstieg Chinas und der Übergang zu einer multipolareren Welt. Winklers neuestes Buch gibt eine Gesamtschau der Herausforderungen, denen wir uns gegenüber sehen, plädiert für vernetztes Denken und formuliert konkrete Empfehlungen, was zu tun ist. Sein Buch ist ein gewichtiger Beitrag zum Verständnis unserer Zeit.