True Warnings and False Alarms

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Focusing on the complexities of risk assessment, the author examines how to discern the validity of health warnings related to environmental hazards. By analyzing 31 historical claims from the 1950s and 60s, including concerns about chemicals and technologies, he identifies key characteristics that can help predict the reliability of such warnings. While his findings don't guarantee certainty about current issues, they offer valuable insights for making informed decisions about which risks warrant concern and attention.