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The Longevity Argument

The Doomsday Argument is wrong, and logical induction has a philosophical basis.

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  • 90pages
  • 4 heures de lecture

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The Doomsday Argument, Self-Sampling Assumption, and Self-Indication Assumption are wrong; J. Richard Gott III's delta <i>t</i> argument underestimates longevity, providing lower bounds on probabilities of longevity, and is equivalent to Laplace's Rule of Succession; but Non-Parametric Predictive Inference based on the work of Bruce M. Hill and Frank P.A. Coolen is consistent with a plausible theory of induction; and Ayn Rand's identification of characteristics as ranges of measurement establishes a philosophical foundation for such a theory of induction.This monograph is a much-revised and much-expanded version of the author's article, "Past Longevity as Evidence for the Future," published in <i>Philosophy of Science</i> (January 2009), often recognized as the leading peer-reviewed journal in its field. Since its publication, that article has been cited favorably in these top-ranked philosophical journals: <i>Journal of Philosophy</i>, <em>Analysis</em>, <i>Synthese</i>, and <i>Ratio</i>.

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The Longevity Argument, Ronald Pisaturo

Langue
Année de publication
2016
Reliure
(souple)
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Titre
The Longevity Argument
Sous-titre
The Doomsday Argument is wrong, and logical induction has a philosophical basis.
Langue
Anglais
Format
souple
Pages
90
ISBN10
1532847416
ISBN13
9781532847417
Séries
Description
The Doomsday Argument, Self-Sampling Assumption, and Self-Indication Assumption are wrong; J. Richard Gott III's delta <i>t</i> argument underestimates longevity, providing lower bounds on probabilities of longevity, and is equivalent to Laplace's Rule of Succession; but Non-Parametric Predictive Inference based on the work of Bruce M. Hill and Frank P.A. Coolen is consistent with a plausible theory of induction; and Ayn Rand's identification of characteristics as ranges of measurement establishes a philosophical foundation for such a theory of induction.This monograph is a much-revised and much-expanded version of the author's article, "Past Longevity as Evidence for the Future," published in <i>Philosophy of Science</i> (January 2009), often recognized as the leading peer-reviewed journal in its field. Since its publication, that article has been cited favorably in these top-ranked philosophical journals: <i>Journal of Philosophy</i>, <em>Analysis</em>, <i>Synthese</i>, and <i>Ratio</i>.